Creating alerts for asthma patients using a machine learning model

Digital health platforms help to create personalized care experiences for patients with chronic diseases. Patient apps can be created as a customizable mobile application with an AI enabled user interface that keeps patients engaged. It provides an intelligent decision support engine that helps patients follow physician recommended guidelines. The platform provides cloud based data driven machine learning models, powerful data analytics, real time insights via dashboards to optimize remote patient monitoring.

Use cases and examples will be shown to the audience for chronic diseases such as asthma. First, dummy data for Asthma app mobile users will be shown. Next, use of external data from other sources will be explained and described. Finally, use of Machine learning approaches will be explained in Predicting risk of asthma attack.

Each example will highlite different datasets and variables used, analytic approaches considered and its pros and cons, and how machine learning can predict and help in reducing visits to the emergency room or hospital for severe asthma patients.

Data collection:

Data includes patients peakflow, zones for asthma (yellow, green or red), symptoms, medications, symptom severity and answers to a 6 question survey (including number of hospital visits, medication change reason etc) all entered by the patient. External data includes air quality data , geographical location and pollen data.


Machine learning methods work by uncovering hidden relationships between the target and features that classify or predict a particular outcome. In the context of telemonitoring via an app, supervised classification algorithms can be used to yield a classifier that distinguishes between a stable disease state and disease trajectory that it is indicative of incipient exacerbation on the basis of patient characteristics collected during a predefined time frame.

Thus, from a machine learning prospective, telemonitoring data collected on a daily basis may be considered as features and each corresponding day's disposition with regard to exacerbation status (yes or no) can be considered as an outcome for predictive modeling. Within this framework, an initial predictive model can be continuously improved with increased numbers of cases.

Examples of classification algorithms for building classification models include: adaptive Bayesian network, naive Bayesian classifier, and support vector machines. The naive Bayesian classifier looks at historical data and calculates conditional probabilities for the class values by observing the frequency of attribute values and of combinations of attribute values. The second algorithm used, adaptive Bayesian network, was based on Bayesian networks, which use a directed acyclic graph consisting of nodes, where each node represents an attribute. Corresponding to each node are instances with conditional probabilities. The conditional probability of an instance is calculated by the relative frequencies of the associated attributes in the training data. The third algorithm we used is a support vector machine algorithm which uses a subset of training data as support vectors. The support vectors are the closest instances to the maximum margin hyperplane, which provides the greatest separation between the classes. The support vectors are determined by constrained quadratic optimization.

A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) will be shown to characterize comparative performance of classifying algorithms for asthma exacerbation prediction resulting from different training data sets . Our study demonstrates significant potential of machine learning approaches using telemonitoring data for early prediction of acute exacerbations of chronic health conditions.


Outline/Structure of the Demonstration

Background of digital platform and disease management in asthma (10min)

Description of how mobile app data is collected and external and internal sources of data ( 10 min)

Explain ML approaches used for Predicting risk of asthma attack (20 min)

Future work , Conclusions and Questions - (5 min)

Learning Outcome

Participants will learn how machine learning applications can help save a visit to the hospital and hence reduce costs for asthma patients

Participants will understand various ML algorithms and how to deal with data anomalies such as missing/incomplete data for your model

Participants will learn a healthcare usecase for 1 disease and how it can be applied to multiple chronic diseases such as diabetes etc

Target Audience

Those intersted in healthcare use cases for ML, Those who would like to build alerts and predict future risk for diseases in their data

Prerequisites for Attendees

Have basic understanding of Machine Learning algorithms

Download Keva health advisor app from google or apple playstore (useful but not mandatory)



schedule Submitted 2 years ago

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