NoEstimates Workshop: Forecasting with Less Effort and More Accuracy

“When will it be done?” It’s a question we all have to answer. How do we forecast completion dates with less effort and more accuracy? If you’re keen to know how you can spend less time estimating and more time delivering working software—all while providing your customers with some understanding of predictability — this group boardgame-based workshop will help you understand what and to what degree different factors influence delivery time. Join this session to learn how to move from upfront intuition-based estimates to create a data-based probabilistic forecast that provides a more reliable way to talk about when stuff will be done—and expend less effort to do so. Learn to forecast when things will be done -- with less effort and more accuracy!
 
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Outline/Structure of the Workshop

The game is structured such that the game-play duration can be flexible. It's played in "day" rounds and can go all the way to 19 "days." However, it's set up so that it can end as soon as the first team reaches day 10, which includes all the major learnings (can finish in 75 minutes).
The timings are basically:
*15-20 minutes: Explain rules
*40-70 minutes: Play
*20-30 minutes: Debrief

Learning Outcome

Learning Outcomes:
  • *Learn the basics of NoEstimates and why the concept can help
  • *Find out through experimentation what — and how much — different factors influence delivery time
  • *Learn how to create a probabilistic forecast that provides a less risky way to plan
  • *Understand how to reduce variation that affects — and creates risk in — delivery

Target Audience

Anyone who has to answer the question "When will it be done?"

schedule Submitted 5 months ago

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